David Montgomery Over 85.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards Game: (251) Chicago Bears at (252) Carolina Panthers Date/Time: Oct 18 2020 1:00 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: David Montgomery Over 85.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards
Simply following our integrated fantasy numbers to use them on the betting aspect, and in the NFL, more than any sport, all this is available on the betting landscape...leave no player out...the Panthers allow a solid 5+ yards per rush, have already allowed 8 TDs, and 50 targets to RB, 43 receptions to RB, 30 redzone touches, and 8 redzone targets...all good for "tops" in the NFL at this point on the season. Add to this the fact the Bears backfield is thin outside the new 3 down back in Montgomery and we project a triple digit total for the Bears RB today...and tremendous value!
1H Denver Broncos Total Under 8.5 (-110) Game: (281) Denver Broncos at (282) New England Patriots Date/Time: Oct 18 2020 1:00 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: To be announced Play Rating: 4% Play: 1H Denver Broncos Total Under 8.5 (-110)
Both these teams have had an extensive (Covid) layoff, Broncos since 10/1 and Pats since 10/5, Drew Lock is back and likely a bit rusty, and how fun for him...he gets Belichick with 2 weeks of him being able to prep, with no Gordon, no Fant, no Hamler...and missing key offensive cogs against a Belichick plan is only more dangerous...by my count he has simply Jerry Jeudy, DaeSean Hamilton, and Philip Lindsey he needs to stop, and Cam is back, which means a lot of run plays and lot of ticking clocks...
I think this 8.5 is almost such a gift it worries me because at this number I would call it a 5% play, but let's just simmer down and get a W and keep the winning going all day long!
Game: (253) Detroit Lions at (254) Jacksonville Jaguars Date/Time: Oct 18 2020 1:00 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: 1H Detroit Lions -2.5 (-110)
Jax is an absymal pass defense...meanwhile the tank for Trevor campaign that didn't seem to take hold due to the Moustache's effectiveness wore off REALLY QUICKLY...and the Lions have had a ton of time off after the debacle that was the final 3 quarters against Drew Brees and the Saints.....teams in such a spot cover at an excellent rate, but laying less than a FG in the first half is a wild gift...as the D can stop Jax at least a little better than the Jags who boast a 43+ DVOA against the pass
correlated play: TJ Hockenson Over 44.5 yards!
TJ Hockenson Over 44.5 Receiving Yards Game: (253) Detroit Lions at (254) Jacksonville Jaguars Date/Time: Oct 18 2020 1:00 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: TJ Hockenson Over 44.5 Receiving Yards
Wow...what a bargain...this is already the Lions leading receiver on the season, the Jags have a terrible pass defense of epic proportions...and give up a TON of yards (and fantasy points) to opposing TE on the season...as we listed with our Lions 1H play we have a correlation to this total prop as well! I think TJ goes for 60+ in this game....and maaaaaybe hits the win in the first half of this game...as Stafford looks to take out some aggression on the Jags for how the first 4 games of the season has gone so far.....less than stellar